Which Pre-election Polls Proved to be Most Accurate?

In the weeks leading up to the presidential election many polls were trying to predict the outcome. Which ones proved to be best? Certainly not conservative-leaning polls.

Pundits, bloggers, commenters, and Dick Morris all touted their own favorite pre-election polls or methodologies as the basis for which their candidate would win the presidency.

With 20/20 hindsight, which polls were the msot accurate in predicting the final outcome? Certainly not conservative-leaning polls like Gallup, Rasmussen, FOX News, Newsmax, and National Journal. 

The Most Accurate Polls

A Fordham University study ranked 28 polling firms on how their pre-election national surveys compared to the results on Election Day. The ranking:

1. PPP (D)
1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP
3. YouGov
4. Ipsos/Reuters
5. Purple Strategies
6. YouGov/Economist
11. Angus-Reid
12. ABC/WP
13. Pew Research
13. Hartford Courant/UConn
15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA
15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
15. FOX News
15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics
15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics
15. American Research Group
15. Gravis Marketing
23. Democracy Corps (D)
24. Rasmussen
24. Gallup
26. NPR
27. National Journal
28. AP/GfK

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

Michael k November 09, 2012 at 12:00 AM
This is a horrifying list for Republicans. Just think if they had just been reading the Daily Kos they would have been well informed.


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