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Chance of Light Snow Saturday

Metro Atlanta may get a dusting of snow.

Well, it looks like we might finally see some snow this winter, and no, it's not in Canada, it appears it will be right here in the metro area. Whatever falls will be very light, but hey, it's snow! :-)

The models are showing cold air moving in over the weekend, and HPC's short term discussion said this today:

CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE LARGE CIRCULATION NEAR NEW ENGLAND WILL CAUSE COLDER TEMPERATURES TO FLOW INTO THE SOUTHERN U.S. WHERE DAYTIME HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE IN AND AROUND THE CENTRAL AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WITH THE PRIMARY ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SINKING SOUTH INTO CUBA...TEMPERATURES WILL BE ROUGHLY 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN AVERAGE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

Couple the cold air with a strong shortwave that will be diving south from the plains, and you have the ingredients for snow. Here's what the Atlanta NWS office said this morning:

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... FOCUS OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD CONTINUES TO BE THE CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS. GFS AND ECMWF ARE EVEN MORE IN LINE WITH EACH OTHER NOW CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH ALTHOUGH THEY STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE SMALL BUT VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE MEAN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY.

EVEN SO BOTH MODELS ALONG WITH THE SREF CONTINUE TO GENERATE FAIRLY LOW QPF VALUES THROUGH THE EVENT...INCLUDING SATURDAY WHEN THE BEST UPPER FORCING IN IMPACTING NORTH GEORGIA. THIS IS LIKELY A REFLECTION OF THE LACK OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABLE AS THE SURFACE FLOW REMAINS NORTHWESTERLY AND VERY LITTLE SURFACE REFLECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE PRESSURE FIELD IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SHORT WAVE.

RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE COOL ENOUGH FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIXTURE ACROSS THE FAR NORTH WITH MOSTLY SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND A RAIN/SNOW MIX AT TIMES AT LEAST AS FAR SOUTH AS THE SOUTHERN ATLANTA SUBURBS AND SOUTH OF ATHENS. RIGHT NOW SNOW TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH GENERALLY A HALF INCH OR LESS ACROSS THE FAR NORTH...WITH AN INCH OR SO POSSIBLE AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... AND A MORNING/EVENING DUSTING POSSIBLE SATURDAY AS FAR SOUTH AS THE SOUTHERN ATLANTA METRO TO SOUTH OF ATHENS.

ALTHOUGH THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION HAVE SHOWN AN INCREASE IN CONFIDENCE OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...THE CONFIDENCE IN AMOUNTS HAS REMAINED A BIT MORE TENUOUS. THIS EVENT WILL NEED TO BE WATCH CLOSELY AS IT CONTINUES TO EVOLVE FOR ANY CHANGES IN EXPECTED AMOUNTS AND GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION.

Maybe the kid in all of us will get to see some snow falling this weekend! We'll continue to track this system and we'll keep you informed as to the timing and strength as it approaches. 

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Tommy Hunter March 04, 2013 at 02:03 PM
So much for that "blocking" pattern out in the Atlantic, huh? Looks like instead of the coldest weather this winter, a really warm week coming up. What y'all want to be they'll be DEAD ON this summer when they start talking "the hottest weather of the season is on tap"????
North Georgia Weather March 04, 2013 at 02:09 PM
Actually, from WXsouth.com yesterday: "There are no easy solutions to how this Upper Low is going to evolve. The models are not much more help than they were yesterday and in fact are a little more disparate. The reason this is going to be hard to nail down is the fact that no model has a good handle on the system right now. The closed block is going nowhere anytime soon so that will force the ULL to begin to dive soon, but the models disagree on when it starts. Some runs have had the ULL begin to pinch away from the parent flow (splitting) earlier than others, and some wait until it’s in the Eastern Dakotas. When it begins to separate, the angle will be important downstream and will allow the ULL to begin to take on a classic look. But the hard part is knowing how well developed the ULL will become and what it’s angle of approach and orientation will be once it begins to cut into western Tennessee Valley." Not sayin' that we'll get anything at all though...
Tommy Hunter March 04, 2013 at 08:58 PM
Better hurry up, suppose to be here tomorrow.
North Georgia Weather March 04, 2013 at 09:13 PM
LOL!!! The upper air low will cause a surface low to form to it's south overnight. Here's the latest 500 MB map (http://www.daculaweather.com/2013_03/500mb.gif), the circle over the Dakota's is the upper level low. To the south is where the surface low will form and you can already see it forming over Oklahoma in this image: http://www.daculaweather.com/2013_03/pmsl.gif Both of those images came from this link: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_spc_meso_analysis.php Here's a link to a map of the forecast track of the lows. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_hpc_sig_lows.php
North Georgia Weather March 04, 2013 at 09:35 PM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 302 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. UPPER LOW MOVES OUT OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND INTO THE EASTERN U.S THIS WILL MOVE A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST GA LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY WHERE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...HOWEVER DO NOT EXPECT ANY STORMS TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME. BEHIND THE FRONT...VERY STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL SPREAD CROSS THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE WEDNESDAY. STRONG WINDS ALOFT COMBINE WITH THE STRONG CAA WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE 15 TO 25 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE A LITTLE STRONGER ON WEDNESDAY. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL CLIP THE EXTREME NORTH PART OF GEORGIA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL BECOME MIXED AND CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BY MIDNIGHT TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY...DIMINISHING TO FLURRIES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HALF INCH TO AN INCH OF SNOW TO ACCUMULATE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS. AT THIS TIME WILL ISSUE A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT CONCERNING THE POSSIBILITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOW. Anyone besides me and Tommy ready for spring?
North Georgia Weather March 04, 2013 at 09:37 PM
Both sides of the Smokies will have snow, this is for the Tennessee side: ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * EVENT...SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF THE NORTHERN PLATEAU AND THE FAR SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF EAST TENNESSEE AS WELL AS EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN VALLEY AREAS.
North Georgia Weather March 04, 2013 at 09:39 PM
And from the Greenville SC office: INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY... WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA 347 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...THE TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA... FROM AVERY COUNTY SOUTH TO GRAHAM COUNTY. INCLUDING NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW... WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE VALLEYS...WITH AMOUNTS REACHING 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS.
Charles Welch March 05, 2013 at 12:02 AM
ULL's are never easy to forecast for any person or computer. I'd like to see some snow here in Athens that sticks before March runs out. After that we're usually more likely to get bad storms and warmer weather.
Tommy Hunter March 05, 2013 at 12:54 AM
SPRING!!! SPRING!!!! Sick of these "near misses". I'd rather them be no-chancers. LOL
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 01:33 PM
Me too... But guess what, another cold period coming up after a weekend warm up.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 02:14 PM
From my buddy Larry this morning: "Folks, The 0Z Goofy, if you take it verbatim (it is a cold biased model...so we must keep that in mind), says spring will be over a week from today lol. Still ANOTHER chilly run for week two with very cold air lurking not too far north. Two Miller A's are modeled fwiw though neither producing wintry precip. Analogs, the Euro weeklies, and projected continued blocking say watch for a a good shot at renewed wintry wx mid month. Believe it or not, that could once again include some more of the coldest wx yet this winter! We'll see. Stay tuned. Edit: no fewer than four of the original 14 analogs had five airmasses that produced either or both the coldest and the 2nd coldest airmasses of the entire winter between 3/10 and 3/20, inclusive! The coldest lows at KATL from these airmasses were as follows: 15, 17, 18, 18, and 19. Coldest so far this winter at KATL: 25. Edit #2: KATL Wintry precip. from these four analogs: 0.3" on 3/9, 4.2" on 3/13 Measurable wintry precip. from other 10 analogs: 4.0" on 3/14, 1.2" on 3/11-12 So, very eventful wx just in mid-March, alone, from nearly half the analogs (for just the short period 3/9-20!!). That's a pretty strong analog signal and implies well above the overall climo based chance for that kind of thing.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 02:23 PM
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 916 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. • LOCATIONS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. • WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN HEAVIER SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BECOMING WEST WEDNESDAY WITH 15 TO 25 MPH AND CONTINUED GUSTS TO 40 MPH. • TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH ALL OF WEDNESDAY. • IMPACTS...SMALL TREES IN SATURATED SOILS MAY BE TOPPLED. DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 20 MPH...OR GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR STRONGER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 02:57 PM
From the SPC a few minutes ago: A RECENT INCREASE IN ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN NOTED OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WITH STORMS LIKELY ROOTED WITHIN THE EML AND FORCED BY HEIGHT FALLS/DCVA AHEAD OF THE EVOLVING...LARGE-SCALE TROUGH. THESE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE EASTWARD WITH A RISK FOR SOME HAIL APPROACHING SEVERE LEVELS. SURFACE-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA INTO ALABAMA WITH ACTIVITY GROWING UPSCALE INTO A BROKEN CONVECTIVE BAND. GIVEN THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FORECAST...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR EMBEDDED BOWING AND/OR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 03:03 PM
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 950 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND 950 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DEVELOPING SNOW SHOWERS AND PATCHY BLACK ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 03:37 PM
The sunny skies and rapid temperature warm up tends to make me a little nervous about severe weather this afternoon. The SPC has outlined our area as a Slight Risk for severe later today. With the sunny skies over north and central Georgia, lapse rates will increase as the air heats. I'm just about 60ºF at DaculaWeather.com and it's rising more than 5º/hour right now. Mid to upper 60's may be possible and would be gas on the fire for severe weather.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 04:01 PM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1058 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 AS FOR THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...A GOOD PORTION OF NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA NOW IN SLIGHT RISK FROM SPC. SHEAR PARAMETERS WILL CERTAINLY BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH 50 KNOTS OF 0-1KM SHEAR AND 0-1KM HELICITY IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2 AFTER 18Z. QUESTION WILL BE INSTABILITY WHICH IS GIVING SOME CONCERN AS MODELS HAVE INCREASED WITH THE LATEST RUN WITH 500 TO 1000 J/KG OVER ALL BUT THE EXTREME NORTH. WHEN TAKEN WITH SHEAR VALUES...NAM12 NOW SHOWING STP APPROACHING 4 THIS AFTERNOON. STILL LOOKS LIKE A CONDITIONAL DAY...BUT GIVEN SURGE OF DEWPOINTS AND CURRENT CLEARING ALLOWING FOR INSOLATION...AM LEANING TOWARD AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 07:26 PM
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0243 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0111 PM CST TUE MAR 05 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALABABA...NORTHWESTERN GA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 051911Z - 052115Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS CNTRL ALABAMA INTO WESTERN GEORGIA. DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND A COUPLE TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS AL AND SRN MS...AND WILL MOVE ACROSS NWRN AND WRN GA BEFORE 00Z. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXTENSIVE CLOUDS EXISTED AS OF 19Z BUT GRADUAL THETA-E ADVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 F AND DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 50S F JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY GROW DEEPER WITH TIME...AS INSTABILITY INCREASES AND SHEAR ACTS ON THE UPDRAFTS. A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS MAY EVENTUALLY MATERIALIZE...WHICH MAY ENHANCE SEVERE WIND...HAIL...AND TORNADO POTENTIAL IN LOCALIZED SWATHS.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 08:35 PM
I'm a little late to the party but here's the latest watch: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 47 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. IN GEORGIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 68 COUNTIES INCLUDING GWINNETT, WALTON, BARROW AND ALL OF METRO ATLANTA.
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 08:37 PM
Two part comment here: ...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... STORMS BEGINNING TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED TO THE WEST...AT LEAST FROM A LINEAR PERSPECTIVE WITH INTERMITTENT THUNDER FROM CENTRAL TENNESSEE THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AT THIS HOUR. LATEST RAP ANALYSIS SHOWS CAPES INCREASING TO AROUND 500 J/KG OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA AND OF MAIN CONCERN AT THIS POINT IS EARLIER PARTIAL CLEARING THAT TOOK PLACE LOCALLY THAT HAS ALLOWED TEMPS TO APPROACH THE 70 DEGREE MARK. COULD BE THAT THESE INCREASED TEMPS ALONG WITH CONTINUED RELATIVELY FRY MID LEVELS WILL ACT TO INHIBIT STORM DEVELOPMENT INITIALLY BUT FEEL LARGER SALE FORCING WILL EVENTUALLY TAKE OVER AND ALLOW FOR MORE ROBUST CONVECTION LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SHEAR WILL NOT BE A PROBLEM WITH 50 TO 60 KTS OF BULK EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND 300 TO 350 M2/S2 OF 0-1KM SRH. HAVE ACTUALLY SEEN MORE SPEED SHEAR THAN DIRECTIONAL OWING TO A STORM MODE MORE LINEAR AND MORE FAVORABLE FOR WINDS AND HAIL THUS FAR WITH SEVERAL HAIL REPORTS ALREADY UPSTREAM. ALL THAT SAID...EXPECT A MIXED BAG WITH WIND AND HAIL THE MOST LIKELY AND ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE WITH STP PROGGED TO INCREASE TO 3 TO 4 THROUGH EARLY EVENING. HAVE INITIALIZED GRIDS WITH SEVERE WORDING AND HIGHLIGHTED WELL IN HWO AS WELL AS GRAPHICAST ADVERTISEMENT OF TIMING AND IMPACTS. ... continued
North Georgia Weather March 05, 2013 at 08:38 PM
... continued IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT STRONG WINDS WILL BE PRESENT IN THE GRADIENT ENVIRONMENT EVEN OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION AND HAVE A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ATTENTION TURNS QUICKLY TO A DEVELOPING WINTER SCENARIO FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. STRONG CLOSED UPPER LOW PUSHES INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AFTER 00Z. ALTHOUGH BEST MOISTURE PROFILE REMAINS NORTH...FORCING IS STRONG AFTER 03Z AND PERSISTS THROUGH 17Z WED. SREF OF COURSE IS MOST BULLISH ON AMOUNTS WITH WIDESPREAD 2" WHILE BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE MORE MODEST AT A HALF AND INCH TO AN INCH. REGARDLESS LOOKS TO BE AN INCONVENIENCE FOR MORNING COMMUTE AND WORTHY OF AN ADVISORY. INDICATING ISOLATED 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS.
North Georgia Weather March 06, 2013 at 11:06 AM
OK... last comment on this wasted blog post... :-) But just a reminder that winter isn't over yet. Again, from Mr. Sutherland this morning: "The combination of strong blocking (AO-) and an EPO- for perhaps the next two weeks suggests a potent pattern that could feature an Arctic outbreak and an opportunity for snowfall. The latest objective analogs from the GFS ensembles centered around March 16 include March 17, 1958 and March 1, 1960, dates that came shortly before major snowstorms." I know, everyone is ready for spring after another dismal winter, and you don't want to hear about more cold weather, but it won't be much longer now. Our first SCCA Solo event is this Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway followed by a National Tour down at South Georgia Motorsports Park near Valdosta the following weekend. I don't want rain, and I don't want cold. Please.
Terrie R March 06, 2013 at 12:29 PM
Snow prediction again? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Not going to believe any prediction now! It has been a roller coaster ride with hoping for snow and then getting disappointed to see it only up in North GA. So far, I have only seen a bit of a flurry - what someone on the radio called "snowman spit" because it was not even really a flurry. I know it has happened in mid to late March but I am not getting my hopes up any more. General Lee said 6 more weeks of winter and that ends on March 16th. So he has another week and a half!
North Georgia Weather March 06, 2013 at 12:31 PM
LOL!!! I agree Terrie! Time for spring. I drive through downtown Snellville on my way to work, and it looks like they had about 1/2" dusting this morning. First snow I've seen all year! Keep looking out the window, you might see some before it moves away.
North Georgia Weather March 06, 2013 at 02:03 PM
At least someone is getting some: ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...GENERALLY ABOVE 1500 FEET. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND PATCHY BLACK ICE. * ACCUMULATIONS...GENERALLY 2-3 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. * TIMING...THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
North Georgia Weather March 06, 2013 at 02:07 PM
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 905 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013 GAZ001>004-011-012-019>023-070215- DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL- 905 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013 ...SCATTERED FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE TODAY... SCATTERED SNOW FLURRIES...WITH ISOLATED...BRIEF...MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA FROM AROUND TRENTON...DALTON AND CHATSWORTH TO NEAR ROME...CALHOUN AND CARTERSVILLE EASTWARD TO AROUND CANTON...CUMMING AND GAINESVILLE. HOWEVER WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING NOW AND EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 30S BY MIDDAY...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIMITED. MOST AREAS WILL ONLY SEE A LIGHT DUSTING...WITH UP TO A HALF OF AN INCH POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED SPOTS. ROADS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR OF SNOW... BUT SLICK...ICY SPOTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE MORNING.
Terrie R March 06, 2013 at 07:51 PM
Unfortunately, it did not extend to Lilburn! When I left home this morning there was nothing on the ground or the cars outside. Oh well!
North Georgia Weather March 06, 2013 at 09:14 PM
I know... I just had to comment one more time. :-) I can TALK about some weather. :-) Since we've busted several times this winter for snow, we aren't the only ones. Washington DC was suppose to get 8-12" of snow... they got rain instead. That rain really puts a crimp in the accumulation totals. At least we didn't bust THAT bad!
North Georgia Weather March 07, 2013 at 11:05 AM
Not many people will see this now since the blog has scrolled off the front page, but I was cracking up reading this. Tell me if this doesn't sound familiar? http://www.buzzfeed.com/danoshinsky/washington-dc-is-the-worst-during-a-snowstorm
North Georgia Weather March 07, 2013 at 11:15 AM
LOL!!!!! Here are some quotes from the the Mid-Atlantic subforum of a weather site I visit during the major snow bust: "I get the same feeling hanging around here right now that I get when I'm at a funeral." "Those are some long a** posts telling us how it didn't snow when all I need to do is look outside and know " "It's in the mid 40s right now in midtown. Like I said, I'd be surprised if we get more than 5". That said, N & E of here could get a lot more." "^Who cares what NYC is getting?" "Lesson learned for me: ignore any and all future NAM model outputs." "The analysis of all the model runs was really good with this storm. We dissected them from top to bottom. Hashed out all the fine details. Rode them to the highest high even as snow was already falling. The one thing we kinda missed was that they were all f***ing wrong." "Did I really just read 2 complaints about getting 10+. Anyone see the movie falling down? I might re-enact tomorrow." "it's march this stuff is going to melt in 45 seconds tomorrow" "^Since when does rain melt?" ... continued
North Georgia Weather March 07, 2013 at 11:16 AM
"Serious question: Will anyone actually examine why the NAM was so off here? I mean, last night we were all high-fiving how "the NAM had scored a coup, the NAM was back, the NAM led the way."..... Err,... It was a pretty big fail, even for a model that at one point suggest 70 inches of snow would fall in part of New England in the Boston Blizzard 4 weeks ago." "I don't want to be a hater, but if NYC gets 12 inches....it won't be pretty." "^If I had to bet I'd say they are going to feel the pain we felt today. Reading that forum is like "the NAM looks cold" sounds like us 24 hours ago. Look where that got us." "why is WBAL interrupting Ellen to report on this storm?" "^Better question is why are you watching Ellen?" "I'll check...maybe we ran the NAM upside down."

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